Florida State -6.5 2.2% play
Jordan Travis was a devastating loss to this FSU team that is still undefeated. I think the team is mentally strong and rallies around each other. We saw it in the game last week where they just went on a run the rest of the game after losing Travis. Overall this is a mismatch when you factor in Florida is 131st in ypp defense, 125th in rushing defense, and the one thing Florida has going for them is their offense and passing game behind Graham Mertz, but Mertz is out with a collarbone. I think the loss of Mertz is a bigger deal for this single game tha the loss of Travis.
I think Travis’ replacement in 4th year Tate Rodemaker is ready to go for this game in the swamp, a game that FSU can rely on their defense and rushing offense to get the win by a TD or more. Florida -1 yard per play this season, and that was with an efficient Graham Mertz, 19th in QB rating running the show. Florida State is +1.7 yards per play, and have already proven they can beat SEC teams. They beat Florida last year, they beat LSU last year and this year, and they’ll have motivation to prove they still belong in the college football playoff without Travis by beating an SEC team on the road by double digits.
